Brian Melancon vs. Seth Baczynski

UFC 1-1-0 vs. 5-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
1-1-0
UFC record
5-6-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44
AgeΔ 0 yrs
44
5'8"
HeightΔ 7"
6'3"
Reach
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
155.3
Layoff (months)Δ 19.4 mo
135.9
LW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Brian Melancon carries real power — 2.02 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Seth Baczynski is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Brian Melancon hunts takedowns — 2.02 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Brian Melancon

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 12
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 41

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.89 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 10 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Seth Baczynski

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 1711

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.19 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 40 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

314.18/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3103.08/min · norm 3.17
273.64/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
3163.14/min · norm 3.06
49.2%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
31.6%norm 44.9%
64.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
51.4%norm 55.25%
12.02/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.30/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Brian Melancon

Distance 76.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 1.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 22.2% (norm 8.1%)

Seth Baczynski

Distance 82.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Brian Melancon

Head 81.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 8.4%)

Seth Baczynski

Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Melancon L/AAccWelterweight med Baczynski L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 20 / 48 41.7% 38.6% 209 / 808 25.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 1 / 1 too few to rate 67.8% 65 / 108 60.2% 67.8%
On the ground 10 / 14 too few to rate 67.2% 36 / 66 54.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 22 / 51 43.1% 37.2% 206 / 814 25.3% 37.2%
To the body 5 / 6 too few to rate 70.7% 70 / 121 57.9% 70.7%
To the legs 4 / 6 too few to rate 82.9% 34 / 47 72.3% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Melancon L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Baczynski L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 21 / 70 30.0% 39.0% 209 / 495 42.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 5 / 6 too few to rate 68.9% 67 / 94 71.3% 68.9%
On the ground 1 / 1 too few to rate 68.0% 40 / 61 65.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 18 / 65 27.7% 35.6% 150 / 455 33.0% 35.6%
To the body 4 / 6 too few to rate 69.6% 81 / 93 87.1% 69.6%
To the legs 5 / 6 too few to rate 82.1% 85 / 102 83.3% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1100.0% acc · 2.02/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
616.7% acc · 0.89/15 · norm 1.27
266.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1548.4% def · norm 63.9%
1:4022.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
21:1321.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
0:471:35 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
33:264:59 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
50.75/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Baczynski has more cage time on record.