Brad Tavares vs. Lorenz Larkin

UFC 16-12-0 vs. 5-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
16-12-0
UFC record
5-5-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38
AgeΔ 1 yrs
39
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.8
Layoff (months)Δ 114.8 mo
119.6
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Lorenz Larkin rarely shoots — 0.14 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Brad Tavares rarely shoots — 0.70 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Lorenz Larkin is accurate with ground strikes — lands 88%, vs a 67% Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Brad Tavares

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1612
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.94 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Lorenz Larkin

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 148
Tier 3 — regional circuit 130

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.24 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 37 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12433.41/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
3913.61/min · norm 3.17
12093.32/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
3232.98/min · norm 3.06
43.7%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
44.6%norm 44.9%
54.9%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
62.5%norm 55.25%
50.21/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.42/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Brad Tavares

Distance 89.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 10.3%)

Lorenz Larkin

Distance 83.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Brad Tavares

Head 76.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.2% (norm 8.4%)

Lorenz Larkin

Head 68.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 20.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tavares L/AAccMiddleweight med Larkin L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1049 / 2548 41.2% 40.5% 293 / 735 39.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 150 / 231 64.9% 70.3% 75 / 115 65.2% 67.8%
On the ground 44 / 65 67.7% 69.1% 23 / 26 88.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 738 / 2171 34.0% 38.9% 191 / 603 31.7% 37.2%
To the body 213 / 327 65.1% 71.7% 61 / 98 62.2% 70.7%
To the legs 292 / 346 84.4% 83.3% 139 / 175 79.4% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tavares L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Larkin L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 940 / 2281 41.2% 39.5% 274 / 794 34.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 201 / 317 63.4% 70.9% 42 / 61 68.9% 68.9%
On the ground 68 / 84 81.0% 69.0% 7 / 7 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 769 / 2047 37.6% 37.9% 173 / 629 27.5% 35.6%
To the body 190 / 305 62.3% 71.3% 63 / 114 55.3% 69.6%
To the legs 250 / 330 75.8% 82.1% 87 / 119 73.1% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1726.6% acc · 0.70/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
125.0% acc · 0.14/15 · norm 1.27
11480.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
3579.5% def · norm 63.9%
46:3812.8% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
5:545.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
80:143:18 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
26:473:42 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tavares has more cage time on record.