Brad Tavares vs. Antonio Carlos Junior

UFC 16-12-0 vs. 7-5-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
16-12-0
UFC record
7-5-0 (1 NC)
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
38
AgeΔ 2 yrs
36
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
74"
ReachΔ 5"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.8
Layoff (months)Δ 61.7 mo
66.5
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Antonio Carlos Junior hunts takedowns — 3.42 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Antonio Carlos Junior owns the mat — in control 47% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Brad Tavares rarely shoots — 0.70 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Brad Tavares

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1612
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.94 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Antonio Carlos Junior

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 156
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.52 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12433.41/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
2901.95/min · norm 3.25
12093.32/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
3192.14/min · norm 3.20
43.7%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
42.6%norm 47.4%
54.9%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
52.8%norm 53.8%
50.21/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Brad Tavares

Distance 89.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 10.3%)

Antonio Carlos Junior

Distance 78.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.4% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Brad Tavares

Head 76.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.2% (norm 8.4%)

Antonio Carlos Junior

Head 82.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tavares L/AAccMiddleweight med Junior L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1049 / 2548 41.2% 40.5% 187 / 535 35.0% 40.5%
In the clinch 150 / 231 64.9% 70.3% 29 / 41 70.7% 70.3%
On the ground 44 / 65 67.7% 69.1% 74 / 105 70.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 738 / 2171 34.0% 38.9% 196 / 564 34.8% 38.9%
To the body 213 / 327 65.1% 71.7% 52 / 72 72.2% 71.7%
To the legs 292 / 346 84.4% 83.3% 42 / 45 93.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tavares L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Junior L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 940 / 2281 41.2% 39.5% 146 / 430 34.0% 39.5%
In the clinch 201 / 317 63.4% 70.9% 18 / 26 69.2% 70.9%
On the ground 68 / 84 81.0% 69.0% 155 / 220 70.5% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 769 / 2047 37.6% 37.9% 230 / 550 41.8% 37.9%
To the body 190 / 305 62.3% 71.3% 33 / 52 63.5% 71.3%
To the legs 250 / 330 75.8% 82.1% 56 / 74 75.7% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1726.6% acc · 0.70/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
3439.1% acc · 3.42/15 · norm 1.42
11480.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
853.3% def · norm 63.1%
46:3812.8% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
70:1447.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
80:143:18 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
26:012:37 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
80.81/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tavares has more cage time on record.