Bec Rawlings vs. Paige VanZant

UFC 2-5-0 vs. 5-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-5-0
UFC record
5-4-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
37
AgeΔ 5 yrs
32
5'6"
HeightΔ 2"
5'4"
64"
ReachΔ 1"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
100
Layoff (months)Δ 27.1 mo
72.9
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Paige VanZant is a submission threat — 0.96 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Paige VanZant owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Strawweight norm.
Bec Rawlings absorbs 5.66 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.94 Women's Strawweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Bec Rawlings

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 36
Tier 3 — regional circuit 53

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.21 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Paige VanZant

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 54
Tier 3 — regional circuit 31

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.88 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3784.48/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
3153.35/min · norm 3.77
4785.66/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
2472.62/min · norm 3.94
42.8%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
52.1%norm 44.5%
57.3%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
42.6%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
10.16/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Bec Rawlings

Distance 86.3% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 5.0%)

Paige VanZant

Distance 50.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 26.9% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 23.0% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Bec Rawlings

Head 81.5% (norm 76.4%) · Body 12.5% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 9.1%)

Paige VanZant

Head 68.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 22.1% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rawlings L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med VanZant L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 293 / 762 38.5% 38.3% 109 / 303 36.0% 38.3%
In the clinch 65 / 96 67.7% 72.6% 104 / 163 63.8% 72.6%
On the ground 20 / 25 80.0% 75.0% 102 / 139 73.4% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 263 / 720 36.5% 35.4% 197 / 414 47.6% 35.4%
To the body 67 / 110 60.9% 69.3% 79 / 134 59.0% 69.3%
To the legs 48 / 53 90.6% 77.9% 39 / 57 68.4% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rawlings L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs VanZant L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 393 / 997 39.4% 39.7% 119 / 243 49.0% 39.7%
In the clinch 57 / 86 66.3% 71.5% 79 / 118 66.9% 71.5%
On the ground 28 / 37 75.7% 74.4% 49 / 69 71.0% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 301 / 866 34.8% 36.0% 157 / 310 50.6% 36.0%
To the body 97 / 152 63.8% 68.4% 70 / 97 72.2% 68.4%
To the legs 80 / 102 78.4% 79.1% 20 / 23 too few to rate 79.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
440.0% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
833.3% acc · 1.27/15 · norm 1.10
1368.4% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
1134.4% def · norm 64.1%
12:3714.9% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
33:3835.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
20:043:33 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
32:575:14 per 15 · norm 3:00
20.36/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
60.96/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — VanZant has more cage time on record.