Armen Petrosyan vs. Christian Leroy Duncan

UFC 3-4-0 vs. 8-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
3-4-0
UFC record
8-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
35
AgeΔ 4 yrs
31
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
71"
ReachΔ 8"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
17
Layoff (months)Δ 16.3 mo
0.7
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Armen Petrosyan rarely shoots — 0.18 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Armen Petrosyan outworks the Middleweight division — 5.91 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Christian Leroy Duncan rarely shoots — 0.43 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Armen Petrosyan

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 63

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.45 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Christian Leroy Duncan

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 82
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.05 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4975.91/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
4694.45/min · norm 3.25
2883.42/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
2492.36/min · norm 3.20
53.0%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
58.0%norm 47.4%
53.1%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
54.1%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.43/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Armen Petrosyan

Distance 94.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 3.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 10.3%)

Christian Leroy Duncan

Distance 80.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 14.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Armen Petrosyan

Head 56.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 28.5% (norm 8.4%)

Christian Leroy Duncan

Head 63.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 22.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Petrosyan L/AAccMiddleweight med Duncan L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 456 / 884 51.6% 40.5% 347 / 648 53.5% 40.5%
In the clinch 24 / 29 82.8% 70.3% 91 / 119 76.5% 70.3%
On the ground 17 / 24 too few to rate 69.1% 31 / 42 73.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 162 / 529 30.6% 38.9% 232 / 512 45.3% 38.9%
To the body 109 / 141 77.3% 71.7% 79 / 116 68.1% 71.7%
To the legs 226 / 267 84.6% 83.3% 158 / 181 87.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Petrosyan L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Duncan L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 274 / 594 46.1% 39.5% 194 / 462 42.0% 39.5%
In the clinch 13 / 19 too few to rate 70.9% 47 / 70 67.1% 70.9%
On the ground 1 / 1 too few to rate 69.0% 8 / 10 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 152 / 436 34.9% 37.9% 132 / 388 34.0% 37.9%
To the body 70 / 96 72.9% 71.3% 52 / 73 71.2% 71.3%
To the legs 66 / 82 80.5% 82.1% 65 / 81 80.2% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
133.3% acc · 0.18/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
320.0% acc · 0.43/15 · norm 1.42
1041.7% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2257.9% def · norm 63.1%
5:016.0% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
21:2720.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
17:413:09 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
31:434:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Duncan has more cage time on record.