Antonio Carlos Junior vs. Jack Marshman
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Antonio Carlos Junior
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 15 | 6 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 4 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.52 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 27 documented bouts
In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500
Jack Marshman
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 3 | 5 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 20 | 5 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.62 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 33 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Antonio Carlos Junior
Distance 78.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.4% (norm 10.3%)
Jack Marshman
Distance 96.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 1.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.9% (norm 10.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Antonio Carlos Junior
Head 82.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 8.4%)
Jack Marshman
Head 80.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Junior L/A | Acc | Middleweight med | Marshman L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 187 / 535 | 35.0% | 40.5% | 209 / 848 | 24.6% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 29 / 41 | 70.7% | 70.3% | 5 / 10 | too few to rate | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 74 / 105 | 70.5% | 69.1% | 10 / 17 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 196 / 564 | 34.8% | 38.9% | 144 / 708 | 20.3% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 52 / 72 | 72.2% | 71.7% | 50 / 117 | 42.7% | 71.7% |
| To the legs | 42 / 45 | 93.3% | 83.3% | 30 / 50 | 60.0% | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Junior L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med | vs Marshman L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 146 / 430 | 34.0% | 39.5% | 278 / 687 | 40.5% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 18 / 26 | 69.2% | 70.9% | 24 / 32 | 75.0% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 155 / 220 | 70.5% | 69.0% | 40 / 68 | 58.8% | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 230 / 550 | 41.8% | 37.9% | 244 / 646 | 37.8% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 33 / 52 | 63.5% | 71.3% | 61 / 100 | 61.0% | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 56 / 74 | 75.7% | 82.1% | 37 / 41 | 90.2% | 82.1% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Junior has more cage time on record.