Ali Bagautinov vs. Demetrious Johnson

UFC 4-3-0 vs. 15-2-1

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
4-3-0
UFC record
15-2-1
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
41
AgeΔ 2 yrs
39
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'3"
65"
ReachΔ 1"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
116.6
Layoff (months)Δ 20.5 mo
96.1
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Demetrious Johnson hunts takedowns — 3.32 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Ali Bagautinov hunts takedowns — 2.51 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Demetrious Johnson owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Ali Bagautinov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 3 — regional circuit 184

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500

Demetrious Johnson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 203
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.79 · 20 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3232.85/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
11733.51/min · norm 3.49
3513.09/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
5821.74/min · norm 3.24
42.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
54.5%norm 44.6%
52.4%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
67.2%norm 56.4%
20.26/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
30.13/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ali Bagautinov

Distance 70.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 12.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 16.7% (norm 7.3%)

Demetrious Johnson

Distance 70.1% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 21.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 8.2% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ali Bagautinov

Head 75.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 9.3%)

Demetrious Johnson

Head 60.9% (norm 75.9%) · Body 21.9% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 17.2% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Bagautinov L/AAccFlyweight med Johnson L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 166 / 537 30.9% 40.0% 665 / 1509 44.1% 40.0%
In the clinch 64 / 97 66.0% 70.4% 359 / 468 76.7% 70.4%
On the ground 93 / 127 73.2% 69.7% 149 / 177 84.2% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 182 / 573 31.8% 37.6% 533 / 1311 40.7% 37.6%
To the body 104 / 135 77.0% 68.5% 369 / 472 78.2% 68.5%
To the legs 37 / 53 69.8% 80.0% 271 / 371 73.0% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Bagautinov L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Johnson L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 193 / 537 35.9% 40.1% 350 / 1431 24.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 131 / 169 77.5% 68.8% 200 / 292 68.5% 68.8%
On the ground 27 / 31 87.1% 71.1% 32 / 49 65.3% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 188 / 507 37.1% 35.2% 249 / 1270 19.6% 35.2%
To the body 88 / 130 67.7% 68.2% 223 / 333 67.0% 68.2%
To the legs 75 / 100 75.0% 80.3% 110 / 169 65.1% 80.3%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1936.5% acc · 2.51/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
7454.8% acc · 3.32/15 · norm 1.30
1365.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
7971.2% def · norm 62.5%
31:5028.1% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
102:1630.6% of cage time · norm 17.0%
10:591:27 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
55:392:29 per 15 · norm 2:44
20.26/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
120.54/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Johnson has more cage time on record.