Alexander Hernandez vs. Mike Breeden

UFC 10-8-0 vs. 1-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-8-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
33
AgeΔ 4 yrs
37
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.4
Layoff (months)Δ 30.2 mo
33.6
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Mike Breeden absorbs 7.97 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Mike Breeden carries real power — 0.49 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Alexander Hernandez carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Alexander Hernandez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 108
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 61

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.04 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Mike Breeden

Full career not yet synced for Mike Breeden — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7894.23/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2036.60/min · norm 3.42
8314.45/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2457.97/min · norm 3.37
40.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
49.9%norm 43.5%
59.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
41.2%norm 56.3%
60.48/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.49/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alexander Hernandez

Distance 91.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 8.0%)

Mike Breeden

Distance 92.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 1.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alexander Hernandez

Head 72.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 7.9%)

Mike Breeden

Head 81.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hernandez L/AAccLightweight med Breeden L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 670 / 1779 37.7% 37.9% 184 / 378 48.7% 37.9%
In the clinch 61 / 91 67.0% 67.3% 16 / 25 64.0% 67.3%
On the ground 58 / 81 71.6% 69.1% 3 / 4 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 438 / 1408 31.1% 35.0% 143 / 332 43.1% 35.0%
To the body 245 / 392 62.5% 69.1% 51 / 65 78.5% 69.1%
To the legs 106 / 151 70.2% 81.9% 9 / 10 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hernandez L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Breeden L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 712 / 1894 37.6% 38.9% 207 / 361 57.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 86 / 124 69.4% 68.6% 27 / 44 61.4% 68.6%
On the ground 33 / 45 73.3% 68.0% 11 / 12 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 495 / 1578 31.4% 35.1% 169 / 325 52.0% 35.1%
To the body 197 / 314 62.7% 68.1% 57 / 72 79.2% 68.1%
To the legs 139 / 171 81.3% 81.5% 19 / 20 too few to rate 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1335.1% acc · 1.05/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
350.0% acc · 1.46/15 · norm 1.38
3368.8% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1664.0% def · norm 64.0%
24:0812.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
2:006.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
17:121:22 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
3:481:51 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.08/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hernandez has more cage time on record.